He continues to win smaller states (plus Mississippi, Oregon, and North Carolina), she gets some minor victories, picks up a good amount of delegates in PA, and makes it seem like she has a legitimate shot of winning it. But by the time the primaries are over, he has a substantial lead in the overall delegates, and the Superdelegates rush over to him to finally decide the race.How could I predict things so well? Do I have a crystal ball covered in magic tea leaves draped in tarot cards? Have I made a pact with the devil, giving him my soul in order to make my predictions correct on my crappy website?
No, although I do have the devil in my five (thanks T-Mobile, it's saved me a bundle during law school exams). The point of the matter is that this race has been fixed ever since Wisconsin. Both candidates have their constituencies that are not going to change, and the layout of the states since Super Tuesday was not such that Hillary could ever catch up. If you've donated any money to the Clinton campaign since the Wisconsin primary in February, I'm sorry. You would have spent your money better investing in pogs (I hear they're flying off the shelves) or a complete wardrobe of slap bracelets.
So, it's over. What now? Let's see if I can do as well predicting the general election. When Obama officially becomes the nominee, he'll get a bump in the polls and pull ahead of John McCain in some key states. A series of attack ads from 501c3's will bring Obama's negatives up, and he'll start to look pretty bad. But in the end, I predict he will win by a large margin, winning Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and a couple of states out West that were not expected. Stay tuned.


1 comments:
Would you mind telling Hillary? No, really. Just quietly pull her aside.
She seems to be the only one not getting the message. She's too busy being the spunky fighter who is happy to ignore reality. I loved her quote about not putting much stock in what economists say about her gas tax plan. *Snort*!
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